2012 Fantasy Football Impact Rookies, Ready and Petty
by Christian of RotoPicks.com
Most rookies come into the league and sit the pine while learning the game. Not these players though! Here's my list of NFL Rookies that will have the largest impact this year in Fantasy:
Doug Martin, RB, Buccaneers
Doug Martin is a strong, speedy back already wowing coaches and fans. His NFL build is similar to that of Ray Rice of the Ravens. Interestingly enough, Ray Rice went to Rutgers, where at the time the head coach was Greg Schiano, the Buccaneers current coach. I believe Schiano will look to use Martin and LeGarrette Blount similarly to how he used Rice and Brian Leonard. Taking that into consideration, Martin will probably get 70% to 80% of the snaps and looks to be a 4th to 6th round average selection.
Robert Griffin III, QB, Redskins
Surprise! This pick is by no means a sleeper. Griffin III looked great in his preseason debut on August 9th, putting up 11 fantasy points in just two possessions. Yet last year, even though Cam Newton was the number one pick overall and an obvious starter, his average draft position was very low. You can get high output from a low value position such as the 7th to 9th round.
Colby Fleener, TE, Colts
I have a hard time believing that Andrew Luck will put up fantastic numbers with a team Jim Irsay nearly wiped clean. The only veteran expected to produce is the aging Reggie Wayne. Colby Fleener was Luck's number one target at Stanford and will be Luck's checkdown receiver and security blanket. I see Luck going to Fleener a lot due to the horrendous offensive line. Fleener will be an easy pickup very late in the draft.
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Tight Ends, a Revolution
We have seen in the last 5 or 6 years a change in the Tight End position. The prototype used to be an offensive lineman that could catch. Now it seems to be a multi dimensional receiver who can block. We saw this through fantasy numbers last year with Jimmy Graham, Rob Gronkowski, Aaron Hernandez and Antonio Gates. Many Fantasy owners leave their Tight End position open until the very late rounds, however we have seen that Graham and Gronkowski have averaged better numbers than most receivers. This year don't wait too late to get your Tight End.
Who is Ready and Petty?
Ready
Broncos and Chargers WR's: Particularly Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker of the Broncos will reap the benefits of having Peyton Manning more than anyone. In Denver's first preseason game, these two were targeted frequently. New additions Eddie Royal and Robert Meachem look comfortable to shine in San Diego as well as fill a huge void they lost in the off season with Vincent Jackson signing with Tampa Bay.
Jamaal Charles, RB, Chiefs: Jamaal had a huge season in 2010, followed by tearing his ACL in 2011 and nearly being forgot about by fantasy owners. I believe he'll bounce back and lead the charge with very weak competition in the backfield.
Benjarvus Green-Ellis, RB, Bengals: A new addition to a team who loves to pound the rock. The "Law Firm" has a great work ethic and is a multi dimensional back for those of you who are in a PPR league.
Petty
I wouldn't draft any of these players very high:
Ryan Mathews, RB, SD: He's projected to go very high although he's spent more time in the training room than on the field.
Michael Vick, QB, PHIL: Hurt his hand in the first preseason game and his talent has depreciated each year.
Chris Johnson, RB, TEN: A top five pick in most leagues. However CJ2K has been a huge disappointment since his pay day, something that happens everyone once in a while to a money hungry player who finds themselves comfortable and no longer hungry.
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